JED, Vol. 16, No.1, April 2014, pp. 74-89 | DOI: 10.33301/2014.16.01.05
An Empirical Investigation of Factors Affecting Stock Prices in Vietnam
Abstract:This paper investigates factors affecting Vietnam’s stock prices including US stock prices, foreign exchange rates, gold prices and crude oil prices. Using the daily data from 2005 to 2012, the results indicate that Vietnam’s stock prices are influenced by crude oil prices. In addition, Vietnam’s stock prices are also affected significantly by US stock prices, and foreign exchange rates over the period before the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. There is evidence that Vietnam’s stock prices are highly correlated with US stock prices, foreign exchange rates and gold prices for the same period. Furthermore, Vietnam’s stock prices were cointegrated with US stock prices both before and after the crisis, and with foreign exchange rates, gold prices and crude oil prices only during and after the crisis.
Keywords:Cointegration, Granger causality, stock prices, oil prices, foreign exchange rate